GRR17 Report web.pdf


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Failed and failing
states

Oil and gas price
spike

Chronic disease,
developed world

Oil price shock

China economic
hard landing

Asset price
collapse

2nd

Retrenchment
from globalization
(developed)

Slowing Chinese
economy (<6%)

Oil and gas
price spike

Pandemics

Asset price
collapse

Retrenchment
from globalization

Interstate and
civil wars

Pandemics

Oil price shock

1st

2nd

Asset price
collapse

2010

Global governance
gaps

infrastructure
Fiscal crises

Breakdown of
critical information

Chronic disease

Slowing Chinese
economy (<6%)

Fiscal crises

Chronic disease

Oil and gas
price spike

Retrenchment
from globalization
(developed)

Economic

Fiscal crises

infrastructure
Chronic disease

Breakdown of
critical information

Oil price spikes

Retrenchment
from globalization
(developed)

Breakdown of critical information infrastructure

Asset price
collapse

2009

Retrenchment
from globalization
(emerging)

Global governance
gaps

Chronic disease

Slowing Chinese
economy (<6%)

2011

Environmental

Extreme energy
price volatility

Asset price
collapse

Geopolitical
conflict

Climate change

Fiscal crises

2011

Climate change

Biodiversity loss

Corruption

Flooding

Storms and
cyclones

2012

Geopolitical

Extreme volatility
in energy and
agriculture prices

imbalances

Food shortage
crises

Water supply
crises

Major systemic
financial failure

2012

Water supply
crises

Cyber attacks

Rising greenhouse
gas emissions

Chronic fiscal
imbalances

Severe income
disparity

2013

Societal

Failure of climatechange mitigation
and adaptation

Diffusion of
weapons of mass
destruction

Chronic fiscal
imbalances

Water supply
crises

Major systemic
financial failure

2013

Mismanagement
of population
ageing

Water supply
crises

Rising greenhouse
gas emissions

Chronic fiscal
imbalances

Severe income
disparity

2014

Technological

Critical information
infrastructure
breakdown

Unemployment
and
underemployment

Water crises

Climate change

Fiscal crises

2014

Cyber attacks

Climate change

Unemployment
and
underemployment

Extreme weather
events

Income disparity

2015

Failure of climatechange mitigation
and adaptation

Interstate conflict
with regional
consequences

Weapons of mass
destruction

Rapid and massive
spread of
infectious diseases

Water crises

2015

High structural
unemployment or
underemployment

State collapse or
crisis

Failure of national
governance

Extreme weather
events

Interstate conflict
with regional
consequences

2016

Severe energy
price shock

Large-scale
involuntary
migration

Water crises

Weapons of mass
destruction

Failure of climatechange mitigation
and adaptation

2016

Major natural
catastrophes

Interstate conflict
with regional
consequences

Failure of climatechange mitigation
and adaptation

Extreme weather
events

Large-scale
involuntary
migration

2017

Failure of climatechange mitigation
and adaptation

Major natural
disasters

Water crises

Extreme weather
events

Weapons of mass
destruction

2017

Massive incident
of data fraud/theft

Large-scale
terrorist attacks

Major natural
disasters

Large-scale
involuntary
migration

Extreme weather
events

Source: World Economic Forum 20017-2017, Global Risks Reports
Note: Global risks may not be strictly comparable across years, as definitions and the set of global risks have evolved with new issues emerging on the 10-year horizon. For example, cyberattacks, income disparity and unemployment entered
the set of global risks in 2012. Some global risks were reclassified: water crises and rising income disparity were re-categorized first as societal risks and then as a trend in the 2015 and 2016 Global Risks Reports, respectively. The 2006 edition
of the Global Risks Report did not have a risks landscape

5th

4th

3rd

2008

Asset price
collapse

2007

Top 5 Global Risks in Terms of Impact

5th

4th

3rd

Middle East
instability

Chronic disease
in developed
countries

1st

2010
Asset price
collapse

Breakdown of critical information infrastructure

2009

Asset price
collapse

2008

Asset price
collapse

Breakdown of
critical information
infrastructure

2007

Top 5 Global Risks in Terms of Likelihood

Figure 2: The Evolving Risks Landscape, 2007-2017